PEPE formed a head-and-shoulders pattern on the daily chart, with a potential 22% drop if the price fails to reclaim the $0.000013 resistance zone soon.

The strong red candle in Pepe [PEPE], the viral memecoin, has triggered a classic bearish reversal structure and traders are now bracing for a potential dump.

PEPE struggles near breakdown zone

The overall cryptocurrency market has been experiencing either sideways or downward momentum. So, the memecoin followed suit and dropped over 7.5% in the past 24 hours, slipping toward the neckline level near $0.000012.

During the same period, trading volume rose by 4.5%, hinting at increased participation, either for hedging or dip-buying.

PEPE price action

Source: TradingView

AMBCryptos technical analysis showed PEPE was in a short-term uptrend, but a 20% weekly drop signaled a likely reversal.

On the daily chart, the memecoin appeared to break down from a head-and-shoulders pattern. It was retesting the neckline zone near $0.00001220 at press time.

If PEPE fails to reclaim this level, a 22% move lower toward $0.000009 remains likely.

However, this bearish structure would be invalidated if the coin closes a daily candle above $0.000013, confirming buyer strength and flipping resistance.

As of press time, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) held at 0.02, suggesting mild accumulation, but not enough to support a bullish reversal.

Expert views on PEPE memecoin 

Crypto analyst VegetaCrypto1 shared on X that PEPE should sweep tomorrow or day after before recoveringimplying a possible fakeout and bounce setup.

Source: X

On-chain data supports bearish bias

Recent investor activity has further strengthened this bearish outlook.

According to CoinGlass, exchanges recorded $1.92 million in net PEPE inflows over the past 24 hours, suggesting that holders are preparing to sell.

PEPE Spot Inflow/Outflow

Source: CoinGlass

At the same time, derivatives data reveal a clear short bias. Traders have opened $10.85 million in short positions at $0.00001248, nearly double the $5.92 million in longs at $0.00001152.

Together, the inflows and leveraged bets suggest traders and investors expect further downside in the near term.